Markus Strasser

Powered by 🌱Roam Garden

Why aren’t private companies more interested in prediction markets?

TLDR; politics and signaling > knowledge

Rob Hanson:

A lot of corporate activity is about creating coalitions and undermining other rival coalitions. Still, they want to give lip service to the information and analysis.

So when you say, “There’s a great new institution for information,” they’re kind of put in a corner, saying, “Of course I want that. Don’t I?”

Why aren’t private companies more interested in prediction markets?